REPORT #48,309 · METHODOLOGY v4.2

“Minister’s claim that unemployment “halved in two years” — the seasonal adjustment problem”

A. Osei CONTRIBUTOR · 82% UPHELD 1 FACT-CHECKS

Published July 7, 2026 · reviewed by the BiasBreak editorial desk

78 ±6 Mostly accurate — comparison basis skewed

What we found

Mostly accurate, but compares a seasonally-adjusted low to an unadjusted high. Like-for-like, the drop is 38% — still large, not half.

Claim ledger · 3 claims 2 verified · 1 needs context ▾

Full claim-by-claim breakdown publishes with the next methodology update.

Sources · 9 source, source, source ▾

Discussion · 0 Comments are moderated · sources required for factual disputes